Prognostication 2008

A friend asked, "so what do you think is going to happen in Anglican-Land in 2008?" What could be finer on a cold crisp day in January than to prognosticate? Here then, from the safe to the risky, are my thoughts about actions in Anglican-Land this year of our Lord 2008.

I am pretty sure:

* The Lambeth Conference will take place as planned in July 2008. All but about 100 bishops will take part.

* The Global Anglican Future Conference (GAFCON) will take place in June, but not in Jerusalem.

* The matter of blessing same sex relationships and ordination of gay and lesbian persons will make it into the formal conversations at Lambeth under the heading of homosexuality or human sexuality. Lesbian and gay members of the church will not be invited to speak to the assembled bishops.

* Bishop Gene Robinson will be at Lambeth whether or not he is physically present inside the walls. Not to invite him in is absurd.

* As it shakes out perhaps ten percent of the members of the Episcopal Church will find their way out of TEC and into a variety of other church contexts. I cannot predict if they will be happy, but pray it is so. The remaining ninety percent will not be of one mind, of course, and will continue to kvetch and mutter our way into whatever it is that God has in mind for this creaky old boat.

* Most of the law suits will go in favor of the Episcopal Church as a hierarchical church and the properties will remain part of Episcopal Church dioceses.

* No matter which way the suits go, the body of believers that get left outside the building will find delight in beginning again and those inside will feel free of old nagging fights. It will be well finally for all their souls. We might all actually learn something from fresh starts and renewed communities (or is that only a hope?)

* Several bishops will be removed from the roll of the House of Bishops by deposition without their consent having declared that they are no longer under the authority of the Episcopal Church and its canons. Two will retire early, ask to be relieved of their inclusion in the House of Bishops (a la Bishop Steenson.) They will then declare they are part of some other Anglican agency (a la Bishop Bena) or going to Rome, or just bowing out.

* The Network will be reduced in number as it formally meshes more and more with the Common Cause Partnership group. The Common Cause Partnership will move toward being an ecclesiastical structure in which women are not ordained and gay people not welcomed to exercise ordained ministry or to vocations of holy union. It too will be a smaller group than now.

* The Archbishop of Canterbury will stop believing that the "Windsor bishops" constitute a force for moderation. He will be right.

* The Archbishop of Canterbury will not stop believing that the Windsor Report is an item in the Anglican portfolio that has continuing merit. He will be wrong.

* The icon of solidarity in the Anglican Communion (Canterbury focus) will be the Anglican Covenant, at least during the tenure of the incumbent Archbishop of Canterbury.

* The icon of solidarity in the Anglican Communion (African bible-belt focus) will be the Bible.

* The icon of solidarity in the New Improved Anglican Communion, made up of Anglican Communion Bible Belt Focused Provinces and a range of North and South American dissenter Anglicans, will be the faith once delivered to the Saints."

* Progressives will try to live without icons but will be tempted to think of justice as an icon. They will have to work at overcoming this temptation. Justice is not an icon, it is an anvil on which the pretenses of our prejudices disguised as morality are finally annealed.

* All of these icons will be smashed because 2008 is the year of Rat. All sorts of prognostications derive from this Chinese year thing, most quite mad. Still, it was published in the Times of London online, so we might want to take a peek at Richard Lloyd Parry's predictions for the year. Strangely enough he has no predictions regarding Anglican-Land, perhaps because the basic engines of prediction (casting straws, inhaling fumes of bark and unmentionable substances, etc) all predate any concern by anybody about Anglicanism.

It is possible to relate to the Year of the Rat however because whatever else this year is about we all know that rats will figure predominately. Rats will desert sinking ships, and all icons in Anglican-land are in themselves sinking ships. They have value only to those who already possess the heart for the values to which the icon refers. The Anglican Covenant is only finally useful for those whose hearts are set on solidarity in experience and reason; the Bible is useful for those whose hearts are set on solidarity in the Word found in the words; the delivered faith is useful only for those whose hearts are set on solidarity in the inherited witness. By themselves, these icons will not serve. Only the lithe will survive. Only those who can continue to live with Scripture, Reason and Tradition will make it in the future of Anglican land. Only those who know that justice is not an icon but a demand will last.

It is also the year of much less subtle rats: There will be a scurry of rats in the Church Yard, and the serpent will eat well. (see my "Snakes in the Churchyard" poem on this.) There will be signs of the oroborus all around, various Anglican conclaves and organizations consuming themselves, consumed by the fact that they exist only in opposition to what they hate. It will not be a pretty sight.

I am less sure, but lean toward the following possibilities:

* By virtue of hard work by a number of progressives there will be further work on a theology of Grace in creation that will contribute to an understanding of full participation of all baptized persons in all vocations to holy living for the healing of the world, a Gospel agenda.

* The best minds and hearts in both the dissenter and progressive Anglican communities will find new levels of communion, probably over coffee. A little child will lead them.

* The agendas and even the methods of those who see the issues as a division into church parties will pass (at least in part) from the scene and those who see a full rainbow of opinions as a gift to the church will bring new agendas, formed in an age that does not trust meta-narratives but continues to live in the faith.

* Those who can't stand the heat of this particular kitchen, who find Anglican-land's untidy ways intolerable, will move on.

Then there is the realm of rumor. I've picked these up 'round and about. They have very little traction:

* The Archbishop of Canterbury will retire following the Lambeth Conference.

* The Roman Catholic Church will make special provisions for an Anglican rite community and effectively reduce the Anglican dissenter community to protestant neo-fundamentalists.

* The Global South Anglican group will recapture its initial vision as a gathering of Anglicans from countries whose political, economic and social systems are in serious flux and development, a gathering for the purpose of mutual mission strategy. Brazil will be invited back in.

* The Archbishop of Nigeria will be disinvited from Lambeth before he says he will not come.

And, on a more personal note:

* Lily Anne (beloved Granddaughter) will lead the next generation of artists in the Harris family. I'm sure of it.


  1. Mark,

    Interesting thoughts, at the least, I for one, to beat a dead horse, hope that this fracas leads all parties to defining themselves as they should be. There are Romans in TEC who should be in Rome, and Baptists who should be in, well wherever Baptists should be, and etc etc. The Anglicans who are left might finally be able to play out the experiment that TEC/Anglican Communion was supposed to be. As one who realized I should be in Rome, I don't necessarily have a lot of hope that the experiment will be fruitful, but it will be fun, one day, to play with the data and come up with some hypotheses.

  2. Oh, I think I am going to bookmark this entry. I can hardly wait to see what comes true! ;-)

    Dare I say, more will come true than not!

    Happy New Year, Fr. Mark.

  3. Mark

    You said: Justice is not an icon, it is an anvil on which the pretenses of our prejudices disguised as morality are finally annealed.

    That is one of the best definitions of Justice I have ever had the pleasure to read since Micah 6:8, where we are instructed that Justice is someting you do, not something you hold up as a symbol.

    I think you have captured Micah's intent quite nicely.

  4. As a born "Roman" (not converted) swimming in the TEC (via marriage and fatherhood), I rather enjoy the spectrum of opinion and intellectual diversity I find in the TEC. We attend a more "inclusive" parish, my in-laws a more "orthodox" one. It's all good.

    And those coffee hours you spoke of so disparagingly in prior comments, trooper -- well I've found it lacking in many of the RC churches I've attended. But perhaps that's part of a problem with the born Catholic experience--Mass from the outset becomes an obligation, a chore--and not something to look forward to. Obviously your mileage has varied considerably from my own.

  5. Mark,

    Good stuff. Especially:

    * The best minds and hearts in both the dissenter and progressive Anglican communities will find new levels of communion, probably over coffee. A little child will lead them.

  6. Fr. Mark,

    I think we disagree on several of these, we shall see who guessed correctly. I suppose all such predictions arise from a paradigm, and therein perhaps the differences between our visions.

    I cannot bring myself to think good of schism. You seem to be reaching out to find some good. Mayhaps you are right.

    Some of these will happen. I think the meaning the meanies missed is that in his Advent rant, the ABC left open a possibility that those bishops / primates who have been meddling in other's space will be uninvited. It is a possibility clearly in the text but not often noted. I would bet that ++Nigerian, ++Rwanda, ++Southern Cone, and ++Kenya are at risk.


  7. you have outdone yourself!


  8. This is lovely! Thank you. I hope you are right. I believe you are. You inspired me to write about it too.


OK... Comments, gripes, etc welcomed, but with some cautions and one rule:
Cautions: Calling people fools, idiots, etc, will be reason to bounce your comment. Keeping in mind that in the struggles it is difficult enough to try to respect opponents, we should at least try.